{"id":1063,"date":"2020-05-08T00:07:00","date_gmt":"2020-05-07T22:07:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/pokreni.rs\/?p=1063"},"modified":"2020-05-07T23:13:56","modified_gmt":"2020-05-07T21:13:56","slug":"inicijativa-pojas-i-put-balkanska-medja-na-kineskom-putu-deglobalizacije","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/pokreni.rs\/index.php\/2020\/05\/08\/inicijativa-pojas-i-put-balkanska-medja-na-kineskom-putu-deglobalizacije\/","title":{"rendered":"Inicijativa \u201cPojas i put\u201d – Balkanska me\u0111a na kineskom putu deglobalizacije"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
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Nastavak teksta <\/em>Inicijativa<\/em> \u201ePojas i put\u201c – Reinkarnacija Puta svile u 21. veku,<\/em><\/a> autora Nikole \u0110uri\u0107a.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Globalizacija, kao produkt neokolonijalizma, na prostoru Balkana se istovremeno sprovodila i tvrdom i mekom mo\u0107i. Pa ipak, kako su velike sile poput EU i SAD po\u010dele da gube svoju nekada\u0161nju mo\u0107, i svet je po\u010deo da se deglobalizuje, ali i antagonizuje. Srazmerno ovom procesu, tekao je i privredni razvoj Kine vo\u0111en savremenim tehnologijama. Na\u017ealost, veoma je mala verovatno\u0107a da \u0107e Kina, kao i svaka velika sila koja \u017eeli da to i ostane, zapravo podeliti visoku tehnologiju sa drugim dr\u017eavama, pa makar one bile i u tzv. strate\u0161kom partnerstvu sa njom, poput Srbije.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kineske investicije na Balkan \u0107e, sa druge strane, zasigurno dugoro\u010dno pove\u0107ati nivo bezbednosti dr\u017eava koje su deo projekta, posebno kada one pre\u0111u granicu od $150 milijardi, \u0161to se u Zapadnom svetu smatra nivoom iznad koga ve\u0107inski nestaju spoljne vojne pretnje<\/strong> . Na primer, Srbija je od 1992. godine primila oko $41 milijardu kroz direktne strane investicije sa zapada, dok je Ma\u0111arska dosta vi\u0161e profitirala od evro-atlantskih integracija, \u010dak $303 milijarde. Kako \u0107e se ovi kriterijumi primenjivati u slu\u010daju investicija sa Istoka i projekta \u201ePojas i put\u201c, ostaje da se vidi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ono \u0161to tako\u0111e ostaje kao mogu\u0107i i veoma zna\u010dajni problem, jeste dodatno zadu\u017eivanje balkanskih dr\u017eava uzimanjem \u201epovoljnih\u201c kineskih kredita, \u010dime se one guraju u du\u017eni\u010dko ropstvo, koje, iako je manje ekstremno u odnosu na zapadni model, i dalje mo\u017ee ultimativno proizvesti negativne posledice po standard gra\u0111ana.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ekonomski dolazak Kine na prostor Balkana jeste jedinstvena prilika da se uspostavi novi balans snaga izme\u0111u velikih sila na ovom prostoru. <\/strong>Balkan \u0107e i dalje biti optere\u0107en spolja\u0161njim uticajima koji dolaze, kako sa zapada (SAD, EU), tako i sa istoka (Rusija), dok \u0107e svoj interes nastaviti da tra\u017ee i islamski centri mo\u0107i, prvenstveno Turska.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

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Foto: Profimedia\/ilustracija<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n

Ipak, za razliku od ulaganja koja poti\u010du sa Zapada, a koja su se \u010desto \u201egubila\u201c u NVO sektoru koji je realizovao politi\u010dke projekte, kineske investicije upu\u0107ene su u konkretne ekonomske infrastrukturne projekte.<\/strong> Zemunski most na Dunavu, modernizovanje \u017eelezni\u010dke pruge Beograd – Budimpe\u0161ta, osavremenjivanje auto-puteva, preuzimanje vlasni\u0161tva u smederevskoj \u017delezari, dolazak prve Kineske banke na na\u0161e prostore, ukidanje viza izme\u0111u Srbije i Kine su projekti koji su ve\u0107 realizovani, i koji ukazuju na zna\u010daj Srbije kao klju\u010dnog partnera Kine na Balkanu .<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Upravo u navedenom se ogledaju veliki izgledi za uspeh inicijative \u201ePojas i put\u201c na Balkanu. Neoptere\u0107enost Kine tradicionalnim geopoliti\u010dkim interesima na ovoj teritoriji joj dozvoljava da razvije partnerstvo sa balkanskim dr\u017eavama, i to sa jednom klju\u010dnom razlikom u odnosu na zapadne sile – bez vojnog upliva. <\/strong>Dolazak Kine na Balkan dugoro\u010dno \u0107e promeniti odnos snaga i uz malo sre\u0107e uspostaviti ravnote\u017eu interesa koja \u0107e biti garant stabilnosti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Geopoliti\u010dki zna\u010daj saradnje Srbije i Kine<\/strong><\/h1>\n\n\n\n

Republika Srbija bila je prva dr\u017eava na Balkanu koja je potpisala sporazum o strate\u0161kom partnerstvu sa NR Kinom, jo\u0161 2009. godine.<\/strong> Od tada, Kina je investirala u Srbiju vi\u0161e od $1 milijardu, uglavnom kroz kredite za infrastrukturne i energetske projekte. Projekti koje \u0107e Srbija realizovati sa Kinom u budu\u0107nosti procenjuju se na oko $3 milijarde.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Saradnja u okviru inicijative \u201ePojas i put\u201c nesumnjivo \u0107e proizvesti pozitivne implikacije na geopoliti\u010dku i bezbednosnu poziciju Srbije.<\/strong> Saradnja u okviru ove inicijative ima pozitivan uticaj na politi\u010dke odnose Srbije i Kine i poja\u010dava podr\u0161ku koju Kina pru\u017ea Srbiji na me\u0111unarodnoj sceni, pre svega u pogledu pitanja Kosmeta. Pored toga, saradnja istovremeno ide u prilog spoljnoj politici Srbije i njenoj te\u017enji da odr\u017ei nezavisnu poziciju na me\u0111unarodnoj sceni, odnosno balans saradnje sa isto\u010dnim i zapadnim silama. Sa druge strane, ukoliko iskoristimo Volcovu realisti\u010dku teoriju koja isti\u010de prednost \u201euskakanja u vagon\u201c nasuprot balansiranja, mo\u017eemo izvu\u0107i zaklju\u010dak da ovakva politika mo\u017ee biti i mana.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kao \u0161to smo ve\u0107 naveli, Kina aktivno podr\u017eava teritorijalni integritet Srbije<\/strong>, i jedna od dr\u017eava koja ne priznaje samoprogla\u0161enu nezavisnost Kosova, predstavljaju\u0107i, zajedno sa Rusijom, garanciju da Kosovo ne\u0107e postati \u010dlan UN. Od 2015. godine, Srbija zvani\u010dno postaje aktivni u\u010desnik i promoter inicijative \u201ePojas i put\u201c.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

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Peking: Kina i Srbija (Foto:Ministarstvo)<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n

Zvani\u010dna politika Srbije ostaje pristupanje EU, me\u0111utim praksa nam govori da se Srbija trudi da ostane izvan okvira zajedni\u010dke spoljne i bezbednosne politike EU dokle god je to mogu\u0107e.<\/strong> Uprkos pritiscima da uskladi svoju spoljnu politiku sa EU i sprovede sankcije Rusiji, Srbija se za sada uspe\u0161no protivi tome. Aktuelna pandemija koronavirusa koja je dovela i do ekonomske krize \u010dije posledice jo\u0161 uvek nije mogu\u0107e u potpunosti sagledati, pokazala je slabost EU u brzom i odgovaraju\u0107em ujedinjenom odgovoru na globalnu pretnju. Sledstveno tome, mogao bi se izvu\u0107i zaklju\u010dak kako \u0107e ovaj proces zna\u010dajno ubrzati ideju restrukturiranja EU, u kojoj je veoma izgledno da u kratkoro\u010dnom i srednjero\u010dnom periodu ne\u0107e biti mesta za Srbiju.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kako je Srbija na putu svojih evropskih integracija u\u010dinila bezbroj ustupaka i pristala na mnoge kompromise sa EU, mnogo vi\u0161e nego \u0161to je to EU \u010dinila prema Srbiji, razumni su napori Srbije u preuzimanju, koliko god je to mogu\u0107e, nezavisne pozicije u regionu balansiraju\u0107i izme\u0111u razli\u010ditih polova me\u0111unarodne politike. U tom smislu, Srbija bi uz malo sre\u0107e na geopoliti\u010dkom planu mogla postati klju\u010dna ta\u010dka spajanja interesa sa jedne strane EU, a sa druge Rusije i Kine, \u010dime bi utvrdila svoju poziciju lidera u regionu Zapadnog Balkana.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Na osnovu svega do sada izre\u010denog, ideja o ostvarivanju \u201estrate\u0161ke\u201c saradnje izme\u0111u Srbije i bilo koje velike sile zasigurno jeste preambiciozna, me\u0111utim, realizacija projekta \u201ePojas i put\u201c na Balkanu \u0107e definitivno imati za posledicu ja\u010du geopoliti\u010dku poziciju Srbije na regionalnom i me\u0111unarodnom planu.<\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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Autor: Nikola \u0110uri\u0107, student master studija na Fakultetu bezbednosti.<\/em><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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Pro\u010ditajte jo\u0161:<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Nastavak teksta Inicijativa „Pojas i put“ – Reinkarnacija Puta svile u 21. veku, autora Nikole<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[30],"class_list":["post-1063","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stavovi","tag-geopolitika"],"yoast_head":"\nInicijativa \u201cPojas i put\u201d - Balkanska me\u0111a na kineskom putu deglobalizacije – Pokreni<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Inicijativa "Pojas i put\u201c na Balkanu \u0107e definitivno imati za posledicu ja\u010du geopoliti\u010dku poziciju Srbije na regionalnom i me\u0111unarodnom planu.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/pokreni.rs\/index.php\/2020\/05\/08\/inicijativa-pojas-i-put-balkanska-medja-na-kineskom-putu-deglobalizacije\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sr_RS\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Inicijativa \u201cPojas i put\u201d - 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