{"id":2139,"date":"2020-06-19T21:09:10","date_gmt":"2020-06-19T19:09:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/pokreni.rs\/?p=2139"},"modified":"2020-06-20T10:25:13","modified_gmt":"2020-06-20T08:25:13","slug":"izbori-u-srbiji-guzva-oko-sesnaestercaa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/pokreni.rs\/index.php\/2020\/06\/19\/izbori-u-srbiji-guzva-oko-sesnaestercaa\/","title":{"rendered":"Izbori u Srbiji: Gu\u017eva oko \u0161esnaesterca"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Predstoje\u0107i parlamentarni, pokrajinski i lokalni izbori u Srbiji, odr\u017eavaju se u pomalo specifi\u010dnoj atmosferi, prije svega zbog <strong>pandemije virusa COVID-19, te bojkota jednog dijela opozicionih partija i smanjenja izbornog cenzusa na 3 odsto glasova<\/strong>, umjesto dosada\u0161njih 5 odsto. Ekspanzija virusa, odlo\u017eila je izbore za 21. jun, a iz istih razloga vladaju\u0107a Srpska napredna stranka, donijela je odluku, da ne odr\u017eava masovne politi\u010dke mitinge u kampanji.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Za Narodnu skup\u0161tinu Republike Srbije bira se 250 poslanika. Pravo da glasa ima \u0161est i po miliona registrovanih bira\u010da. Za manjinske partije koje ne pre\u0111u cenzus od 3 odsto, va\u017ei prirodni prag.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>Na izborima za parlament u\u010destvuje 21. lista, za jednu vi\u0161e u odnosu na izbore iz 2016. godine. <\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ranije se o\u010dekivao ne\u0161to manji broj u\u010desnika, ali jedan dio pokreta i partija koji su se prethodno zalagali za bojkot, donijeli su odluku da ipak iza\u0111u na izbore. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p><strong>O\u010dekivana izlaznost je izme\u0111u 45 i 50 odsto, zbog sitaucije sa COVID-19, i manjim dijelom zbog bojkota nekoliko opozicionih partija<\/strong>, <strong>\u0161to bi predstavljalo pad u odnosu na izbore iz 2016. godine kada je izlaznost bila 56 odsto od registrovanih bira\u010da.<\/strong> <\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Rezultati na \u201evrhu tabele\u201c lako su predvidivi. <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Izborna lista \u201e<a href=\"http:\/\/Predstoje\u0107i parlamentarni, pokrajinski i lokalni izbori u Srbiji, odr\u017eavaju se u pomalo specifi\u010dnoj atmosferi, prije svega zbog pandemije virusa COVID-19, te bojkota jednog dijela opozicionih partija\">Aleksandar Vu\u010di\u0107 \u2013 za na\u0161u decu<\/a>\u201c okupljena oko Srpske napredne stranke, osvoji\u0107e izvijesno preko 50 odsto glasova \u0161to su i najavljivali kao cilj (istra\u017eivanja predvi\u0111aju \u010dak oko 58 odsto) \u0161to \u0107e im omogu\u0107iti dovoljan broj mandata da sami formiraju vladu ukoliko \u017eele. Listi \u201eIvica Da\u010di\u0107 \u2013 Socijalisti\u010dka partija Srbije (SPS), Jedinstvena Srbija (JS) \u2013 Dragan Markovi\u0107 Palma, istra\u017eivanja javnog mnijenja predvi\u0111aju rezultat od oko 12 odsto. &nbsp;\u0160to se ti\u010de samog sastava lista, ohrabruje ne\u0161to ve\u0107e prisustvo mladih na prolaznim mjestima, kao i solidan broj novih lica.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed-wordpress aligncenter wp-block-embed is-type-wp-embed is-provider-pokreni\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"fikUQ4gum0\"><a href=\"https:\/\/pokreni.rs\/index.php\/2020\/06\/18\/kritikovanje-predizbornih-spotova-sns-kao-promasena-strategija2\/\">Kritikovanje predizbornih spotova SNS kao proma\u0161ena strategija<\/a><\/blockquote><iframe class=\"wp-embedded-content lazyload\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; visibility: hidden;\" title=\"&#132;Kritikovanje predizbornih spotova SNS kao proma\u0161ena strategija&#147; &#8212; Pokreni\" data-src=\"https:\/\/pokreni.rs\/index.php\/2020\/06\/18\/kritikovanje-predizbornih-spotova-sns-kao-promasena-strategija2\/embed\/#?secret=T4UDSkmmJk#?secret=fikUQ4gum0\" data-secret=\"fikUQ4gum0\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" data-load-mode=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mnogo ve\u0107a neizvijesnost je oko borbe za prelazak cenzusa. <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pomenuto smanjivanje praga na 3 odsto, pribli\u017eilo je veliki broj partija ulasku u Narodnu skup\u0161tinu Republike Srbije. Po svemu sude\u0107i, iznad cenzusa su SPAS Aleksandra \u0160api\u0107a, Pokret Slobodnih Gra\u0111ana Sergeja Trifunovi\u0107a, te Srpska Radikalna stranka. Pokret METLA varira na oko 3 odsto, i bi\u0107e interesantno da li \u0107e uspjeti da pre\u0111u prag. Prema prezentovanim istra\u017eivanjima agencije Faktor plus, jako blizu cenzusa su i Ujedinjena demokratska Srbija, Zavetnici predvo\u0111eni Milicom \u0110ur\u0111evi\u0107- Stamenkovski, te pokret&nbsp; Dosta je bilo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Izbori u Srbiji: <strong>Predvi\u0111anja i analize<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Zavetnici i Dosta je bilo, mogli bi da predstavljaju iznenadjenje ovih izbora i pre\u0111u cenzus.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Ono \u0161to nije najjasnije, jeste kako \u0107e se pona\u0161ati dio opozicije okupljen u Savez za Srbiju, koji se zala\u017ee za bojkot izbora.<\/strong> Nakon odluke nekolicine politi\u010dkih \u010dinilaca, koji su se prethodno zalagali za bojkot, da ipak iza\u0111u na izbore, evidentno je da je strategija bojkota pretrpjela poraz, iako jedan dio partija ostaje pri odluci da ne izlaze na izbore. Izostala je \u0161ira kampanja promocije bojkota, te ostaje nejasno, kako \u0107e se na dan izbora pona\u0161ati ove partije i dio njihovih simpatizera i <strong>da li \u0107e na neki na\u010din poku\u0161ati da ometaju sam izborni proces?<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dveri ostaju bez poslani\u010dkih mijesta, kao i Demokratska stranka, te odre\u0111eni broj samostalnih poslanika. Meni li\u010dno jedan od utisaka u prethodnom periodu, svakako je potpuni raspad Demokratske stranke, koja je od svog ponovnog osnivanja du\u017ei niz godina predstavljala jako va\u017ean politi\u010dki faktor u Srbiji.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Interesantno je i primjetiti da bi opcije koje se pozicioniraju kao stranke desnice, u odre\u0111enom scenariju mogle da osvoje pristojan broj mandata,<\/strong> ukoliko bi cenzus uspjeli da presko\u010de i SPAS, METLA, i Zavetnici, te bi u tom slu\u010daju u parlametnu bio zastupljen i poprili\u010dan broj novih lica, a i zagarantovana dinami\u010dnost i vrlo interesantna razmjena argumenata, obzirom na to da bi neki od njih sigurno i u parlamentu otvorili pitanja pregovora oko <strong>KiM, evrointegracija, migrantske krize,<\/strong> i drugih pitanja, koja su u prethodnom periodu pomalo skrajnuta. <strong>Isto tako, ukoliko bi bez mandata ostala dobro poznata lica poput Nenada \u010canka, Gordane \u010comi\u0107 i \u010cedomira Jovanovi\u0107a, to bi bio jasan pokazatelj da ideje za koje se oni zala\u017eu ne u\u017eivaju podr\u0161ku i da im je mjesto u pro\u0161losti.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Dakle, neka igre po\u010dnu.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0110or\u0111e Risti\u0107, politikolog za <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zvornikdanas.com\/2020\/06\/izbori-u-srbiji-guzva-oko-sesnaesterca\/?fbclid=IwAR3DwYu8nmFSnNGIBvso7f2AL2pOnKjG3R0AZtOhHhHBRLV38y09dJXv-cQ\">Zvornikdanas<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Predstoje&#263;i parlamentarni, pokrajinski i lokalni izbori u Srbiji, odr&#382;avaju se u pomalo specifi&#269;noj atmosferi, prije<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":2143,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[163,2],"tags":[125,67],"class_list":["post-2139","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-izbori-2020","category-mladi-i-politika","tag-izbori","tag-mladi"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Izbori u Srbiji: Gu\u017eva oko \u0161esnaesterca &#8211; 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