{"id":3098,"date":"2020-10-09T13:01:55","date_gmt":"2020-10-09T11:01:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/pokreni.rs\/?p=3098"},"modified":"2020-10-09T13:08:53","modified_gmt":"2020-10-09T11:08:53","slug":"zasto-ne-treba-analizirati-neevropske-drzave-zapadnim-politikoloskim-metodama-primer-kirgistana","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/pokreni.rs\/index.php\/2020\/10\/09\/zasto-ne-treba-analizirati-neevropske-drzave-zapadnim-politikoloskim-metodama-primer-kirgistana\/","title":{"rendered":"Za\u0161to ne treba analizirati neevropske dr\u017eave zapadnim politikolo\u0161kim metodama &#8211; primer Kirgistana"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Dok je Srbija kontemplirala nad jo\u0161 jednom godi\u0161njicom 5. oktobra u Kirgistanu je izvr\u0161en tre\u0107i po redu dr\u017eavni prevrat po\u010dev\u0161i od 2005. godine. Spoljni posmatra\u010di <\/strong>te\u017ee da posmatraju politi\u010dku situaciju u Kirgistanu isklju\u010divo sa geopoliti\u010dkog stanovi\u0161ta &#8211; jo\u0161 jedna obojena revolucija usmerena protiv Rusije.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Zaista, za analizu realnog dru\u0161tvenog stanja u zemljama centralne Azije nije potreban politikolog, ve\u0107 antropolog, koji bi nalik Pri\u010dard-Evansu me\u0111u Nuerima, \u017eiveo sa tamo\u0161njim plemenskim organizacijama i u potpunosti u\u0161ao u njihov na\u010din razmi\u0161ljanja. <\/strong>Tako bismo do kraja razumeli sve delove njihove dru\u0161tvene strukture i dinamiku odnosa me\u0111u njima.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"850\" height=\"638\" src=\"https:\/\/pokreni.rs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/kirgistan.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-3100\" srcset=\"https:\/\/pokreni.rs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/kirgistan.jpg 850w, https:\/\/pokreni.rs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/kirgistan-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/pokreni.rs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/kirgistan-768x576.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 850px) 100vw, 850px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Analizirati Kirgistan s ta\u010dke gledi\u0161ta partijskog ili politi\u010dkog sistema zna\u010di produ\u017eavati neokolonijalnu evropsku matricu po kojoj svi ljudi deluju i misle na isti na\u010din, ina\u010de se smatraju iracionalnim i necivilizovanim. <\/strong>Po toj logici, u Kini je ve\u0107 uveliko trebalo da pro\u0111e revolucija srednje klase koja bi u zemlji uvela pravila igre liberalne demokratije. Partije i institucije u Kirgistanu su samo formalni paravan za razli\u010dite klanove koji kontroli\u0161u dati dru\u0161tveni sistem.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">S druge strane, zapadne dr\u017eave, naro\u010dito SAD, ulo\u017eile su itekako puno sredstava u razvijanje gra\u0111anskog dru\u0161tva i liberalne demokratije u toj zemlji. Imao sam \u010dak prilike da pro\u010ditam magistarski rad studentkinje sa moje katedre koji se ticao upravo razvijanja mre\u017ee NVO u Kirgistanu i Gruziji.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bila je to uporedna analiza i razmi\u0161ljanje nad temom za\u0161to je dru\u0161tvo u Gruziji znatno prozapadnije od kirgistanskog, a instrumenti zapadnog uticaja na ta dva dru\u0161tva su bili istovetni. Studentkinja je ina\u010de bila Francuskinja liberalne provenijencije sa Sciences Po Bordeaux, kao deo dvostruke magistrature izme\u0111u mog fakulteta (RUDN) i presti\u017ene francuske \u0161kole za politikologe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Odista, za\u0161to liberalne NVO nisu ostvarile zna\u010dajan uticaj na jedno centralnoazijsko dru\u0161tvo, ali jesu na gruzinsko koje se nalazi na obodu Evrope, svakako bli\u017ee evropskoj civilizaciji? Odgovor se ve\u0107 nalazi u postavljenom pitanju. Do sli\u010dnih zaklju\u010daka je do\u0161ao i vrh sovjetske komunisti\u010dke partije pri izgradnji komunisti\u010dkog sistema u Mongoliji, kada je rigidna kolektivizacija pretila da tamo izazove dru\u0161tvenu katastrofu. Tada su Staljinu pisani izve\u0161taji kako treba uzeti u obzir mongolsku dru\u0161tvenu strukturu pri izgradnji komunizma i Staljin se zvani\u010dno saglasio sa tom pozicijom!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p><strong>Jednostavno ne mogu se izvoziti odre\u0111eni evropski na\u010dini razmi\u0161ljanja i vrednosti u dru\u0161tva koje sa tom paradigmom nemaju nikakvih dodirnih ta\u010daka niti to uop\u0161te \u017eele. <\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Jedino \u0161to mo\u017ee pretransformisati kirgistansko dru\u0161tvo iz klanovskog u moderno jeste obimni paket inostranih investicija i sveopt\u0161a urbanizacija. Ovo je van doma\u0161aja i Rusije i Sjedinjenih Dr\u017eava. Mo\u017eete poku\u0161ati da pogodite koji akter je jedini u stanju da to u\u010dini, ali vam sigurno ne\u0107e biti potrebno puno vremena da shvatiti da je re\u010d o &#8211; Kini.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Za Rusiju je centralnoazijski pojas isklju\u010divo izvor jeftine radne snage i ni\u0161ta vi\u0161e. Tu se ne ubraja Kazahstan sa svojom pozama\u0161nom resursnom bazom i velikim brojem Rusa koji tamo \u017eive i koji fakti\u010dki upravljaju ekonomijom te zemlje. Rusija bi se borila da zadr\u017ei evrozijsku orijentaciju Kazahstana sa istim elanom kao \u0161to to \u010dini i u Belorusiji. Kirgistan je sasvim druga pri\u010da.<br>Kroz trideset godina Kirgistan \u0107e biti na istoj etapi razvoja gde je sad, sa istovetnom dru\u0161tvenom strukturom koja se bazira na tradicionalnoj klanovskoj ravnote\u017ei, ma koliko novca va\u0161ingtonske birokrate budu protra\u0107ile na dati region. Kao \u0161to Sovjetski Savez nije uspevao da nigde van Evrope izgradi jednoobrazni komunisti\u010dki sistem, tako i SAD ne uspevaju da ostvare trajan uticaj u tradicionalnim neevropskim dru\u0161tvima.<br>Po\u0161to nijedan zapadni akter nema nikakav plan integracije regiona Srednje Azije sve \u0107e u njemu biti usmereno primarno ka Kini i Rusiji, delimi\u010dno ka Iranu. Jednom kada se ameri\u010dka okupacija Avganistana privede kraju, Sjedinjene Dr\u017eave \u0107e izgubiti svaki uticaj u tom regionu, kao da nikada tu nisu ni bile &#8211; trag u pesku. Dugoro\u010dno prisustvo \u0107e nadvladati kraktoro\u010dne geopoliti\u010dke interese (u Aziji dugoro\u010dno zna\u010di vekove, a ne decenije kao na Zapadu).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Najkra\u0107e re\u010deno, SAD misle da su sprovele ve\u0107 tri obojene revolucije u Kirgistanu, ali u stvari su samo izazvale neravnote\u017eu me\u0111u klanovima koja se pre ili kasnije uvek vra\u0107a u poziciju stabilnosti (po na\u0161em evropskom shvatanju stagnacije). Treba obratiti vi\u0161e pa\u017enje na de\u0161avnja u Moldaviji o \u010demu \u0107u pisati kasnije ovog meseca kako se bli\u017ee tamo\u0161nji predsedni\u010dki izbori.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dok je Srbija kontemplirala nad jo&scaron; jednom godi&scaron;njicom 5. oktobra u Kirgistanu je izvr&scaron;en tre&#263;i<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":25,"featured_media":3100,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3098","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-stavovi"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Za\u0161to ne treba analizirati neevropske dr\u017eave zapadnim politikolo\u0161kim metodama - primer Kirgistana &#8211; Pokreni<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Dok je Srbija kontemplirala nad jo\u0161 jednom godi\u0161njicom 5. oktobra u Kirgistanu je izvr\u0161en tre\u0107i po redu dr\u017eavni prevrat po\u010dev\u0161i od 2005. godine.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/pokreni.rs\/index.php\/2020\/10\/09\/zasto-ne-treba-analizirati-neevropske-drzave-zapadnim-politikoloskim-metodama-primer-kirgistana\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sr_RS\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Za\u0161to ne treba analizirati neevropske dr\u017eave zapadnim politikolo\u0161kim metodama - primer Kirgistana &#8211; 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